Planning a trip to Bali at the end of the year, the biggest concern is the rainy season. According to the latest seasonal forecast released by Indonesia’s Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysical Agency (BMKG) as of October 13, 2026, this year’s rainy season in Bali may start later than usual. Most areas are expected to enter the rainy season in December, with February 2027 as a possible rainfall peak.
Latest Bali Rainy Season Forecast
| Item | Forecast |
|---|---|
| Rainy season starts in November | About 15% of seasonal zones |
| Rainy season starts in December | About 85% of seasonal zones |
| Rainy season peak | February 2027 |
| Rainy season may last until | April 2027 |
| Rainfall trend | About 70% of zones are normal, 30% may be above normal |
The above is a seasonal forecast and does not represent actual daily weather. The start time and amount of rainfall may vary by location.
Why Might the Rainy Season Be Delayed This Year?
Strong El Niño and changes in the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) may reduce rainfall in parts of Indonesia, leading to a delayed rainy season.
However, a delayed rainy season does not mean there won’t be heavy rain. Even if overall rainfall is lower, localized areas may still experience intense downpours and road flooding.
From November to February 2027, when is the best time to visit?
November: Current forecasts suggest most areas have yet to enter the rainy season, making it still worth considering beach, pool, and outdoor activities—though clear skies every day aren’t guaranteed.
December: Most areas are expected to enter the rainy season. Christmas and New Year’s remain peak travel periods, so plan for rainy-day alternatives and book accommodations early.
January–February 2027: February may be the peak of the rainy season. When visiting waterfalls, mountainous areas, or islands like Nusa Penida, keep an eye on rainfall, road conditions, sea conditions, and ferry schedules.
Does it rain all day in Bali during the rainy season?
Not necessarily. The rainy season can bring afternoon thunderstorms or overcast days with steady rain—actual weather depends on current conditions and your location.
Make outdoor plans flexible and have indoor alternatives ready, such as shopping malls, spas, or cafés. If you plan to head out to sea, always check the latest sea conditions and ferry schedules.
Conclusion
Current forecasts indicate that November may be a relatively good time for outdoor activities, with most areas entering the rainy season from December onward, and February 2027 likely seeing the peak of rainfall.
However, seasonal forecasts cannot guarantee the weather on a specific date. It’s recommended to check the forecast again a week before departure, so there’s no need to cancel your trip just because it’s the rainy season.
For the latest information, refer to the Bali Climate Station BMKG and the Indonesian Meteorological Agency.
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